in Probability edited by
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12 votes
12 votes

Suppose we wish to calculate $P(H \mid E 1, E 2),$ and we have no conditional independence information.

Which of the following sets of numbers are sufficient for the calculations?

  1. $P(E 1, E 2), P(H), P(E 1 \mid H), P(E 2 \mid H)$
  2. $P(E 1, E 2), P(H), P(E 1, E 2 \mid H)$
  3. $P(H), P(E 1 \mid H), P(E 2 \mid H)$
  4. $P(H), P(E 1 \mid H)$
in Probability edited by
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4 Answers

11 votes
11 votes
We do not have any independence assumptions:
$$
P\left(H \mid E_1, E_2\right)=\left(P\left(E_1, E_2 \mid H\right) P(H)\right) / P(E 1, E 2)
$$
So we need to know these probabilities: $P(H), P\left(E_1, E_2 \mid H\right)$ and $P\left(E_1, E_2\right)$, which is B.
2 votes
2 votes

Answer 

 

0 votes
0 votes
P(H|E1,E2)=P(H,E1,E2)/P(E1,E2)=P(H∩E1∩E2)/P(E1∩E2)=P(H∩(E1∩E2))/P(E1∩E2)={P((E1∩E2)|H)*P(H)}/P(E1∩E2)={P((E1,E2)|H)*P(H)}/{P(E1,E2)}

Now this cannot be further broken.

So D is correct option.
0 votes
0 votes

so option B is correct

Answer:

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