in Probability edited by
859 views
18 votes
18 votes

Alice, Bob, and Carl each attempt to solve a crossword puzzle. There is a $70 \%$ chance that Alice can solve the puzzle without making a mistake, a $60 \%$ chance that Bob can, and a $85 \%$ chance that Carl can. What is the probability that each one makes a mistake in solving the puzzle?

  1. $0.018$
  2. $0.357$
  3. $0.9$
  4. $0.12$
in Probability edited by
859 views

2 Answers

27 votes
27 votes
Best answer
Let A be the event that Alice can solve the puzzle. B be the event that Bob can solve the puzzle. And C be the event that Carl can solve the puzzle.

We can imply from the question that $A$, $B$, and $C$ are Independent events. Because each of those events does not affect the probability of happening of other events. Here,  $A^{c}$, $B^{c}$, and $C^{c}$ are also independent events for the same reason.

$p(A^{c}\cap B^{c}\cap C^{c}) = p(A^{c}) * p(B^{c}) * p(C^{c}) = 0.3 * 0.4 * 0.15 = 0.018$
selected by
3 votes
3 votes
Let  A=Alice can solve the puzzle without making a mistake.     P(A)=0.7

B=Bob can solve the puzzle without making a mistake.              P(B)=0.6

C=Carl can solve the puzzle without making  a mistake.             P(C)=0.85

From the given information we can state that if A happens then there is no effect on probabilities on B and C ,Same thing if B happens and also C happens.Means A,B,C are independent events.Now,

P(A’∩B’∩C’)=P(A’)*P(B’)*P(C’)={1-0.7}*{1-0.6}*{1-0.85}=0.3*0.4*0.15=0.018
Answer:

Related questions

Quick search syntax
tags tag:apple
author user:martin
title title:apple
content content:apple
exclude -tag:apple
force match +apple
views views:100
score score:10
answers answers:2
is accepted isaccepted:true
is closed isclosed:true